Michael Amadio vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Amadio wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 47.4% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 12-2 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Amadio 84.2%
Defensive zone
Amadio 89.8%
Neutral zone
Amadio 86.5%
Result
Michael Amadio favored at 86.1%
86.1%
13.9%
Amadio
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
12
(14 meetings)
2
12
Amadio
O'Reilly
Last 10: Amadio 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
7
Amadio
O'Reilly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Amadio
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Amadio
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (1,363)
56.2% (15,260)
-8.9%
Power Play
50.9% (57)
58.8% (3,445)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
51.4% (2,811)
-16.6%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Amadio is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,045).
Amadio shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Amadio
O'Reilly
Home
47.3% (656)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
47.3% (787)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Amadio
O'Reilly
P1
50.5%
55.6%
P2
44.8%
57.0%
P3
46.7%
55.1%
Final 5 min
49.2%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 3, 2025 | 3 | 04:45 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 00:47 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 3 | 09:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 2 | 15:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Feb 24, 2021 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 18:54 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 06:10 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 06:01 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 03:22 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |