Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Amadio wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 50.5% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 61.2%
Defensive zone
Amadio 52.2%
Neutral zone
Amadio 53.5%
Result
Michael Amadio favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Amadio
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Amadio
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Amadio
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (92)
56.2% (983)
-5.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
55.5% (254)
+44.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
52.0% (102)
-18.7%
On power play, Amadio has a +44.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Amadio is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Amadio shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Amadio
O'Reilly
Home
57.4% (47)
56.2% (697)
Away
44.9% (49)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Amadio
O'Reilly
P1
55.9%
54.5%
P2
55.3%
55.5%
P3
37.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
44.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2025 | 3 | 04:45 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |