Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 49.7% vs Hertl 54.5% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Amadio 55.4%
Defensive zone
Amadio 63.6%
Neutral zone
Amadio 68.1%
Result
Michael Amadio favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Amadio
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Amadio
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Amadio
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Amadio
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (62)
54.1% (1,117)
-5.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
59.8% (296)
+40.2%
On power play, Amadio has a +40.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Amadio is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (42).
Amadio shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Amadio
Hertl
Home
64.3% (28)
54.3% (709)
Away
37.1% (35)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Amadio
Hertl
P1
59.1%
51.6%
P2
44.4%
53.6%
P3
42.9%
58.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
49.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 05:25 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |