Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Amadio wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 50.5% vs Hertl 55.4% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 73.2%
Defensive zone
Amadio 55.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 53.8%
Result
Michael Amadio favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Amadio
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Amadio
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Amadio
1
0
Amadio
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Amadio
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (92)
54.1% (717)
-3.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
61.9% (210)
+38.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
58.1% (31)
-24.8%
On power play, Amadio has a +38.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Amadio is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Amadio shoots right. Hertl is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Amadio
Hertl
Home
57.4% (47)
58.1% (492)
Away
44.9% (49)
53.6% (466)
By Period
Amadio
Hertl
P1
55.9%
57.1%
P2
55.3%
54.0%
P3
37.5%
56.6%
Final 5 min
44.4%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 15:45 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 11:02 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |