Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 50.9% vs Hertl 56.8% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Amadio 58.7%
Defensive zone
Hertl 52.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 51.4%
Result
Michael Amadio favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Amadio
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Amadio
Hertl
Last 5: Amadio 2-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Amadio
1
0
Amadio
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Amadio
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (128)
57.0% (718)
-5.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
64.9% (188)
-31.6%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
44.2% (77)
+22.5%
On power play, Hertl has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Amadio is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (92).
Amadio shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Amadio
Hertl
Home
50.6% (85)
59.2% (463)
Away
53.1% (49)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Amadio
Hertl
P1
62.2%
56.3%
P2
43.2%
55.4%
P3
48.9%
60.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 16:15 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:18 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |