Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Howden wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 50.4% vs McCarron 52.5% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 83.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 63.0%
Neutral zone
Howden 62.5%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Howden
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Howden
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Howden
McCarron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Howden
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (381)
53.1% (672)
-2.7%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
18.2% (11)
+37.4%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
53.7% (205)
-5.4%
On power play, Howden has a +37.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Howden is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Howden
McCarron
Home
47.7% (195)
52.8% (477)
Away
52.8% (233)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Howden
McCarron
P1
51.1%
56.5%
P2
52.6%
53.2%
P3
48.8%
49.0%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.5%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 18:27 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 15:37 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |