Frederick Gaudreau vs Michael McCarron
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.9% vs McCarron 52.8% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 63.8%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 66.7%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 63.6%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Gaudreau
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Gaudreau
McCarron
Last 7: Gaudreau 1-6 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
5
Gaudreau
McCarron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (408)
54.5% (618)
-5.5%
Power Play
68.0% (25)
42.1% (19)
+25.9%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (114)
35.3% (34)
+13.8%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Gaudreau is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Gaudreau shoots right. McCarron is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
McCarron
Home
50.8% (319)
52.2% (339)
Away
48.7% (228)
54.2% (332)
By Period
Gaudreau
McCarron
P1
53.4%
53.5%
P2
47.4%
50.6%
P3
50.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.9%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 08:03 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 02:01 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |