Jack McBain vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McBain wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs McCarron 52.7% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
McBain leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
McBain 53.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 78.9%
Neutral zone
McCarron 59.1%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
McBain
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
10
(21 meetings)
11
10
McBain
McCarron
Last 10: McBain 6-4 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
1
McBain
McCarron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
3
2
McBain
McCarron
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
6
7
McBain
McCarron
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (2,298)
53.4% (2,901)
-5.4%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
45.3% (86)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (308)
50.5% (463)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. McBain is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (990).
McBain shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
Home / Away
McBain
McCarron
Home
49.0% (1,359)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
44.0% (1,298)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
McBain
McCarron
P1
46.7%
53.9%
P2
47.5%
52.5%
P3
45.6%
52.0%
OT
37.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
50.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 07:42 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 14:47 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 11:13 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 03:43 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 09:51 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 19:31 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |