Lukas Reichel vs Michael McCarron
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Reichel wins 39.4% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reichel 42.1% vs McCarron 54.0% (-14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reichel 90.2%
Defensive zone
Reichel 76.6%
Neutral zone
Reichel 82.2%
Result
Lukas Reichel favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Reichel
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Reichel
McCarron
Last 6: Reichel 0-6 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Reichel
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
3
Reichel
McCarron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Reichel
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reichel
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (327)
54.2% (756)
-15.1%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
55.6% (9)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
55.1% (158)
-55.1%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +55.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Reichel is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Reichel shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Reichel
McCarron
Home
43.7% (206)
54.6% (445)
Away
34.7% (150)
54.2% (478)
By Period
Reichel
McCarron
P1
35.5%
53.6%
P2
39.5%
55.6%
P3
46.5%
53.7%
Final 5 min
35.6%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
39.9%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2025 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 1 | 14:24 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:30 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 2 | 01:13 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 09:44 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |