Who wins more faceoffs, Michael McCarron or Mikael Backlund?

Mikael Backlund leads the head-to-head 6-2 across 8 faceoffs.

What is Michael McCarron's faceoff record against Mikael Backlund?

Michael McCarron is 2-6 against Mikael Backlund in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 0-1, Defensive 1-1, Neutral 1-4.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Michael McCarron or Mikael Backlund?

Mikael Backlund is the predicted winner with a 58.7% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Michael McCarron vs Mikael Backlund

Michael McCarronR vs Mikael BacklundL

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Michael McCarron holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McCarron wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) McCarron 52.5% vs Backlund 49.7% (+3.1%)

H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Backlund 54.0%

Defensive zone Backlund 58.2%

Neutral zone Backlund 59.9%

Result Mikael Backlund favored at 58.7%

41.3%

58.7%

McCarron Backlund

Head-to-Head Record

2 - 6 (8 meetings)

McCarron Backlund

Last 8: McCarron 2-6 Backlund

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Backlund

McCarron Backlund

1 total

Defensive Zone

Even

McCarron Backlund

2 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Backlund

McCarron Backlund

5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

McCarron

Backlund

Edge

Even Strength

53.1% (672)

50.1% (891)

+3.0%

Power Play

18.2% (11)

53.1% (64)

-34.9%

Penalty Kill

53.7% (205)

47.8% (278)

+5.9%

On power play, Backlund has a +34.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Backlund shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).

McCarron shoots right. Backlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (362).

Home / Away

McCarron

Backlund

Home

52.8% (477)

48.1% (580)

Away

52.8% (411)

51.1% (653)

By Period

McCarron

Backlund

56.5%

45.1%

53.2%

54.7%

49.0%

0.0%

46.2%

Final 5 min

52.3%

47.2%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

McCarron

48.0%▬

48.5%

52.8%

Backlund

52.0%▲

48.0%

49.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Jan 3, 2026	2	19:16	Defensive	Mikael Backlund
Nov 1, 2025	3	00:00	Neutral	Mikael Backlund
Nov 1, 2025	2	00:05	Neutral	Mikael Backlund
Nov 1, 2025	2	00:00	Neutral	Michael McCarron
Nov 1, 2025	1	11:46	Offensive	Mikael Backlund
Nov 1, 2025	1	11:39	Defensive	Michael McCarron
Nov 1, 2025	1	11:18	Neutral	Mikael Backlund
Nov 1, 2025	1	00:00	Neutral	Mikael Backlund

McCarron's Profile | Backlund's Profile