Michael McCarron vs Mikael Backlund

2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Michael McCarron holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McCarron wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McCarron 54.0% vs Backlund 48.5% (+6.0%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone McCarron 50.5%
Defensive zone McCarron 77.8%
Neutral zone McCarron 66.9%
Result Michael McCarron favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
McCarron Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 3 (8 meetings)
5
3
McCarron Backlund
Last 8: McCarron 5-3 Backlund

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
3
McCarron Backlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
0
McCarron Backlund
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McCarron
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (756)
50.4% (1,032)
+3.8%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
52.3% (107)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (158)
40.6% (313)
+14.5%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +14.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
McCarron shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Home / Away
McCarron
Backlund
Home
54.6% (445)
48.7% (749)
Away
54.2% (478)
48.1% (703)
By Period
McCarron
Backlund
P1
53.6%
50.4%
P2
55.6%
50.1%
P3
53.7%
45.8%
OT
100.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
53.5%
50.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%
48.5%
54.4%
Backlund
52.0%
48.0%
48.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 4, 2025 3 17:40 Defensive Michael McCarron
Jan 4, 2025 3 17:24 Defensive Michael McCarron
Jan 4, 2025 3 14:37 Offensive Mikael Backlund
Jan 4, 2025 1 15:41 Offensive Mikael Backlund
Jan 4, 2025 1 04:10 Defensive Michael McCarron
Nov 15, 2024 3 01:07 Offensive Michael McCarron
Nov 15, 2024 1 11:05 Offensive Michael McCarron
Nov 15, 2024 1 01:43 Offensive Mikael Backlund