Michael McCarron vs Mikael Backlund
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McCarron wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 54.0% vs Backlund 48.5% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarron 50.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 77.8%
Neutral zone
McCarron 66.9%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
McCarron
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
McCarron
Backlund
Last 8: McCarron 5-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
3
McCarron
Backlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
0
McCarron
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (756)
50.4% (1,032)
+3.8%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
52.3% (107)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (158)
40.6% (313)
+14.5%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
McCarron shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Home / Away
McCarron
Backlund
Home
54.6% (445)
48.7% (749)
Away
54.2% (478)
48.1% (703)
By Period
McCarron
Backlund
P1
53.6%
50.4%
P2
55.6%
50.1%
P3
53.7%
45.8%
OT
100.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
53.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:24 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 15:41 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 01:43 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |