Michael McCarron vs Mikael Backlund
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.8% vs Backlund 50.3% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McCarron 58.2%
Defensive zone
McCarron 51.6%
Neutral zone
McCarron 58.9%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
McCarron
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
McCarron
Backlund
Last 10: McCarron 7-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
2
McCarron
Backlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
4
0
McCarron
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
McCarron
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (618)
51.0% (1,205)
+3.5%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
59.3% (108)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (34)
42.3% (234)
-7.0%
On power play, Backlund has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
McCarron shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
McCarron
Backlund
Home
52.2% (339)
51.2% (782)
Away
54.2% (332)
49.4% (765)
By Period
McCarron
Backlund
P1
53.5%
51.5%
P2
50.6%
49.8%
P3
55.9%
49.9%
Final 5 min
45.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 04:11 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 07:57 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 02:33 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 06:39 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |