Michael McCarron vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.7% vs Backlund 49.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 15-13 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 63.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 63.2%
Neutral zone
McCarron 50.2%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
McCarron
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
13
(28 meetings)
15
13
McCarron
Backlund
Last 10: McCarron 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
McCarron
Backlund
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
8
1
McCarron
Backlund
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
6
McCarron
Backlund
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (2,901)
49.7% (13,410)
+3.7%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
51.6% (1,336)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (463)
44.0% (2,446)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
McCarron shoots right. Backlund is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (6,244).
Home / Away
McCarron
Backlund
Home
52.3% (1,696)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
53.3% (1,754)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
McCarron
Backlund
P1
53.9%
48.5%
P2
52.5%
50.3%
P3
52.0%
48.4%
OT
33.3%
44.1%
Final 5 min
50.7%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:05 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 11:39 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 11:18 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:24 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 15:41 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 15, 2024 | 1 | 01:43 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 04:11 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 03:59 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |