Michael McCarron vs Morgan Geekie
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.5% vs Geekie 47.6% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 85.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 88.2%
Neutral zone
Geekie 52.0%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
McCarron
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McCarron
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
McCarron
Geekie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (672)
47.0% (117)
+6.1%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
47.1% (34)
-28.9%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (205)
0.0% (3)
+53.7%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +53.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. McCarron is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (265).
McCarron shoots right. Geekie is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
McCarron
Geekie
Home
52.8% (477)
45.3% (75)
Away
52.8% (411)
46.8% (79)
By Period
McCarron
Geekie
P1
56.5%
43.1%
P2
53.2%
48.1%
P3
49.0%
47.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |