Michael McCarron vs Morgan Geekie
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). McCarron wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.7% vs Geekie 48.5% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Geekie leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 86.4%
Defensive zone
McCarron 53.4%
Neutral zone
Geekie 71.9%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 73.4%
26.6%
73.4%
McCarron
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
14
(22 meetings)
8
14
McCarron
Geekie
Last 10: McCarron 6-4 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
10
McCarron
Geekie
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
2
McCarron
Geekie
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
4
2
McCarron
Geekie
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (2,901)
48.8% (2,307)
+4.6%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
45.7% (188)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (463)
45.7% (129)
+4.8%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. McCarron is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,047).
McCarron shoots right. Geekie is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (701).
Home / Away
McCarron
Geekie
Home
52.3% (1,696)
50.0% (1,281)
Away
53.3% (1,754)
46.8% (1,343)
By Period
McCarron
Geekie
P1
53.9%
48.6%
P2
52.5%
48.8%
P3
52.0%
47.7%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 13:54 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 09:53 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 09:36 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 16:45 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 3 | 02:37 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 10:44 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 02:39 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 17:11 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |