Michael McCarron vs Morgan Geekie
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.8% vs Geekie 44.9% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarron 66.6%
Defensive zone
McCarron 91.4%
Neutral zone
McCarron 85.0%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
McCarron
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
McCarron
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Geekie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Geekie
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
0
McCarron
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (618)
43.7% (584)
+10.8%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
47.1% (68)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (34)
50.0% (8)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. McCarron is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (208).
McCarron shoots right. Geekie is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
McCarron
Geekie
Home
52.2% (339)
45.3% (329)
Away
54.2% (332)
42.9% (331)
By Period
McCarron
Geekie
P1
53.5%
41.2%
P2
50.6%
45.0%
P3
55.9%
46.2%
Final 5 min
45.9%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |