Michael McCarron vs Morgan Geekie
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 54.0% vs Geekie 47.3% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 86.2%
Defensive zone
McCarron 84.4%
Neutral zone
Geekie 55.7%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 76.0%
24.0%
76.0%
McCarron
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
McCarron
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
2
McCarron
Geekie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (756)
45.7% (352)
+8.5%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
63.2% (19)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (158)
33.3% (3)
+21.8%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. McCarron is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (249).
McCarron shoots right. Geekie is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
McCarron
Geekie
Home
54.6% (445)
48.5% (165)
Away
54.2% (478)
45.0% (209)
By Period
McCarron
Geekie
P1
53.6%
48.5%
P2
55.6%
45.1%
P3
53.7%
45.8%
Final 5 min
53.5%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 13:54 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |