Michael McCarron vs Nick Schmaltz
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McCarron wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 54.0% vs Schmaltz 49.4% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 75.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 92.3%
Neutral zone
McCarron 73.5%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 81.0%
81.0%
19.0%
McCarron
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McCarron
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
0
McCarron
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
1
McCarron
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (756)
48.1% (268)
+6.1%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
50.5% (91)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (158)
58.8% (17)
-3.7%
On even strength, McCarron has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. McCarron is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (249).
McCarron shoots right. Schmaltz is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
McCarron
Schmaltz
Home
54.6% (445)
49.0% (206)
Away
54.2% (478)
49.4% (170)
By Period
McCarron
Schmaltz
P1
53.6%
53.6%
P2
55.6%
46.2%
P3
53.7%
50.4%
OT
100.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
53.5%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 11:58 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |