Michael McCarron vs Nick Schmaltz
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.5% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 78.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 90.8%
Neutral zone
McCarron 61.0%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
McCarron
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
10
(23 meetings)
13
10
McCarron
Schmaltz
Last 10: McCarron 6-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
7
McCarron
Schmaltz
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
10
0
McCarron
Schmaltz
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
McCarron
Schmaltz
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (672)
45.9% (665)
+7.2%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
46.8% (111)
-28.6%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (205)
50.0% (24)
+3.7%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. McCarron is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (265).
McCarron shoots right. Schmaltz is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Home / Away
McCarron
Schmaltz
Home
52.8% (477)
44.7% (409)
Away
52.8% (411)
47.6% (391)
By Period
McCarron
Schmaltz
P1
56.5%
40.3%
P2
53.2%
47.6%
P3
49.0%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 09:30 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 08:57 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 04:14 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 16:23 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 08:07 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:14 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 10:32 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 05:54 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:51 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 03:51 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:57 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |