Michael McCarron vs Nick Schmaltz
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 12 meetings). McCarron wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.7% vs Schmaltz 42.5% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 17-11 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 62.0%
Defensive zone
McCarron 95.7%
Neutral zone
McCarron 80.7%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
McCarron
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
11
(28 meetings)
17
11
McCarron
Schmaltz
Last 10: McCarron 6-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
7
McCarron
Schmaltz
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
12
0
McCarron
Schmaltz
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
5
4
McCarron
Schmaltz
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (2,901)
41.2% (3,399)
+12.2%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
47.1% (649)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (463)
47.8% (134)
+2.7%
On even strength, McCarron has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. McCarron is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,047).
McCarron shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,167).
Home / Away
McCarron
Schmaltz
Home
52.3% (1,696)
42.7% (2,089)
Away
53.3% (1,754)
41.9% (2,093)
By Period
McCarron
Schmaltz
P1
53.9%
41.1%
P2
52.5%
42.9%
P3
52.0%
43.0%
OT
33.3%
42.4%
Final 5 min
50.7%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 09:30 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 08:57 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 04:14 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 16:23 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 08:07 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:14 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 10:32 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 05:54 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:51 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 03:51 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:57 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |