Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.8% vs Greig 45.0% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greig 59.6%
Defensive zone
McCarron 60.7%
Neutral zone
Greig 51.8%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
McCarron
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McCarron
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
McCarron
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (618)
45.2% (414)
+9.3%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
28.6% (14)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (34)
28.6% (21)
+6.7%
On power play, McCarron has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
McCarron shoots right. Greig is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (161).
Home / Away
McCarron
Greig
Home
52.2% (339)
46.4% (196)
Away
54.2% (332)
41.9% (253)
By Period
McCarron
Greig
P1
53.5%
40.8%
P2
50.6%
46.4%
P3
55.9%
43.9%
Final 5 min
45.9%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 03:19 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:53 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |