Michael McCarron vs Ridly Greig
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Greig on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.7% vs Greig 48.8% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Greig leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Greig 73.1%
Defensive zone
Greig 57.8%
Neutral zone
Greig 65.1%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 65.4%
34.6%
65.4%
McCarron
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
McCarron
Greig
Last 10: McCarron 4-6 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
2
3
McCarron
Greig
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
2
3
McCarron
Greig
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (2,901)
48.5% (1,133)
+4.9%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
56.8% (74)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (463)
46.5% (172)
+4.0%
On power play, Greig has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
McCarron shoots right. Greig is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (634).
Home / Away
McCarron
Greig
Home
52.3% (1,696)
49.8% (681)
Away
53.3% (1,754)
47.7% (698)
By Period
McCarron
Greig
P1
53.9%
46.3%
P2
52.5%
51.2%
P3
52.0%
48.8%
OT
33.3%
28.6%
Final 5 min
50.7%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 17:30 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 17:15 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 3, 2025 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 3, 2025 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 05:52 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 03:19 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:53 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |