Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 54.7%). McCarron wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 54.0% vs Greig 53.8% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Greig 71.6%
Defensive zone
McCarron 62.4%
Neutral zone
Greig 59.6%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
McCarron
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
McCarron
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
0
McCarron
Greig
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (756)
53.6% (280)
+0.6%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
61.3% (31)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (158)
56.5% (69)
-1.4%
On power play, Greig has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
McCarron shoots right. Greig is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
McCarron
Greig
Home
54.6% (445)
56.2% (185)
Away
54.2% (478)
53.3% (195)
By Period
McCarron
Greig
P1
53.6%
52.8%
P2
55.6%
51.6%
P3
53.7%
59.5%
Final 5 min
53.5%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2025 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 3, 2025 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 05:52 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |