Michael McCarron vs Ryan Carpenter
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 53.4% vs Carpenter 51.2% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarron 56.7%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 53.6%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 52.3%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
McCarron
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McCarron
Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Carpenter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
McCarron
Carpenter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (308)
53.2% (299)
+4.3%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
33.3% (3)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
46.5% (86)
-13.9%
On power play, McCarron has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. McCarron is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (130).
McCarron shoots right. Carpenter is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
McCarron
Carpenter
Home
48.3% (147)
54.6% (207)
Away
58.7% (206)
48.1% (181)
By Period
McCarron
Carpenter
P1
53.4%
52.3%
P2
59.5%
51.5%
P3
50.0%
50.8%
Final 5 min
54.8%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:00 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |