Michael McCarron vs Ryan Carpenter
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). McCarron wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.7% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
McCarron 59.0%
Defensive zone
McCarron 78.0%
Neutral zone
McCarron 61.9%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
McCarron
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
McCarron
Carpenter
Last 10: McCarron 7-3 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
0
McCarron
Carpenter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
McCarron
Carpenter
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
4
2
McCarron
Carpenter
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (2,901)
49.6% (2,027)
+3.8%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
41.5% (41)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (463)
43.9% (467)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. McCarron is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,047).
McCarron shoots right. Carpenter is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (695).
Home / Away
McCarron
Carpenter
Home
52.3% (1,696)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
53.3% (1,754)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
McCarron
Carpenter
P1
53.9%
49.6%
P2
52.5%
47.7%
P3
52.0%
48.0%
OT
33.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
50.7%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 17:57 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:02 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 17:18 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 12:43 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:49 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 09:47 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 15:23 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:00 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |