Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.8% vs Bennett 45.9% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 74.3%
Defensive zone
McCarron 70.7%
Neutral zone
Bennett 54.0%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
McCarron
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
McCarron
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCarron
Bennett
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
McCarron
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (618)
44.7% (772)
+9.8%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
56.9% (58)
-14.8%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (34)
42.9% (28)
-7.6%
On power play, Bennett has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
McCarron shoots right. Bennett is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
McCarron
Bennett
Home
52.2% (339)
48.5% (447)
Away
54.2% (332)
42.1% (411)
By Period
McCarron
Bennett
P1
53.5%
47.1%
P2
50.6%
45.8%
P3
55.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.9%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 08:20 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |