Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 54.0% vs Bennett 46.6% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 87.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 69.6%
Neutral zone
Bennett 62.5%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
McCarron
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
McCarron
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
2
McCarron
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (756)
46.5% (909)
+7.7%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
43.1% (51)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (158)
38.5% (13)
+16.6%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
McCarron shoots right. Bennett is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (316).
Home / Away
McCarron
Bennett
Home
54.6% (445)
45.4% (449)
Away
54.2% (478)
46.9% (524)
By Period
McCarron
Bennett
P1
53.6%
49.6%
P2
55.6%
43.7%
P3
53.7%
45.1%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.5%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 07:23 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 04:23 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |