Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). McCarron wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.5% vs Bennett 48.3% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 79.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 89.5%
Neutral zone
McCarron 64.7%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
McCarron
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
McCarron
Bennett
Last 10: McCarron 7-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
McCarron
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
6
2
McCarron
Bennett
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
2
McCarron
Bennett
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (672)
46.4% (780)
+6.7%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
57.3% (150)
-39.1%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (205)
47.8% (46)
+5.9%
On power play, Bennett has a +39.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. McCarron is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (623).
McCarron shoots right. Bennett is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Home / Away
McCarron
Bennett
Home
52.8% (477)
50.3% (519)
Away
52.8% (411)
45.7% (457)
By Period
McCarron
Bennett
P1
56.5%
47.5%
P2
53.2%
46.6%
P3
49.0%
49.8%
OT
0.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 15:48 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:08 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 05:49 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 00:17 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 00:04 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 01:25 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |