Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.8% vs Steel 46.6% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarron 61.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 83.5%
Neutral zone
McCarron 77.8%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
McCarron
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McCarron
Steel
Last 5: McCarron 4-1 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
1
McCarron
Steel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (618)
44.6% (177)
+9.9%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
66.7% (3)
-24.6%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (34)
44.8% (29)
-9.5%
On power play, Steel has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
McCarron shoots right. Steel is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
McCarron
Steel
Home
52.2% (339)
46.7% (90)
Away
54.2% (332)
43.7% (119)
By Period
McCarron
Steel
P1
53.5%
47.8%
P2
50.6%
47.0%
P3
55.9%
41.3%
Final 5 min
45.9%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 05:03 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 15:08 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 05:37 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 07:57 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |