Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 53.5%). McCarron wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 54.0% vs Steel 52.8% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 71.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 74.8%
Neutral zone
Steel 50.5%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
McCarron
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McCarron
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
McCarron
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (756)
56.9% (320)
-2.7%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
71.4% (7)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (158)
37.0% (73)
+18.1%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
McCarron shoots right. Steel is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
McCarron
Steel
Home
54.6% (445)
55.9% (202)
Away
54.2% (478)
51.0% (198)
By Period
McCarron
Steel
P1
53.6%
55.5%
P2
55.6%
55.1%
P3
53.7%
50.3%
Final 5 min
53.5%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 14:15 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |