Michael McCarron vs Sean Monahan
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.7% vs Monahan 51.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 15-14 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 82.8%
Defensive zone
McCarron 84.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 52.8%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
McCarron
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
14
(29 meetings)
15
14
McCarron
Monahan
Last 10: McCarron 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
6
McCarron
Monahan
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
8
2
McCarron
Monahan
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
McCarron
Monahan
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (2,901)
51.1% (11,356)
+2.3%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
53.7% (2,580)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (463)
46.0% (766)
+4.5%
On power play, Monahan has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
McCarron shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Home / Away
McCarron
Monahan
Home
52.3% (1,696)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
53.3% (1,754)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
McCarron
Monahan
P1
53.9%
50.9%
P2
52.5%
51.7%
P3
52.0%
51.0%
OT
33.3%
53.5%
Final 5 min
50.7%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 05:06 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 05:36 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 13:38 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 13:30 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 06:26 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:09 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 04:09 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 13:46 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 13:11 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 13:12 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 2 | 18:12 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |