Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +17.0% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 60.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 54.9% vs Lewis 44.3% (+17.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCarron 50.6%
Defensive zone
McCarron 82.0%
Neutral zone
McCarron 67.0%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
McCarron
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McCarron
Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
62.8% (86)
41.8% (251)
+21.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
45.5% (11)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
44.7% (47)
-0.3%
On even strength, McCarron has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. McCarron is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (33).
McCarron shoots right. Lewis is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
McCarron
Lewis
Home
59.5% (42)
39.2% (166)
Away
59.4% (64)
46.2% (143)
By Period
McCarron
Lewis
P1
71.0%
45.2%
P2
48.7%
43.8%
P3
61.1%
37.8%
Final 5 min
51.4%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.4%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 15:32 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |