Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.8% vs Lewis 44.4% (+10.6%)
Offensive zone
Lewis 55.2%
Defensive zone
McCarron 63.3%
Neutral zone
Lewis 50.4%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
McCarron
Lewis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (618)
45.7% (210)
+8.8%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
71.4% (7)
-29.3%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (34)
33.7% (95)
+1.6%
On power play, Lewis has a +29.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. McCarron is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (208).
McCarron shoots right. Lewis is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Home / Away
McCarron
Lewis
Home
52.2% (339)
48.8% (166)
Away
54.2% (332)
35.6% (146)
By Period
McCarron
Lewis
P1
53.5%
37.9%
P2
50.6%
46.7%
P3
55.9%
42.7%
Final 5 min
45.9%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.6%