Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 53.4% vs Seguin 55.4% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 65.3%
Defensive zone
McCarron 64.0%
Neutral zone
McCarron 51.5%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
McCarron
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McCarron
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
McCarron
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (308)
56.5% (712)
+1.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
59.7% (67)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
44.9% (49)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. McCarron is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (130).
McCarron shoots right. Seguin is 63.8% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
McCarron
Seguin
Home
48.3% (147)
58.5% (402)
Away
58.7% (206)
53.8% (426)
By Period
McCarron
Seguin
P1
53.4%
58.4%
P2
59.5%
54.7%
P3
50.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
54.8%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 03:24 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |