Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 60.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 54.9% vs Seguin 54.2% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 66.6%
Defensive zone
McCarron 63.9%
Neutral zone
McCarron 54.2%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
McCarron
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
McCarron
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCarron
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
62.8% (86)
55.0% (713)
+7.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
56.7% (104)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
47.2% (53)
-2.8%
On even strength, McCarron has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. McCarron is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (33).
McCarron shoots right. Seguin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
McCarron
Seguin
Home
59.5% (42)
56.2% (443)
Away
59.4% (64)
53.2% (427)
By Period
McCarron
Seguin
P1
71.0%
54.2%
P2
48.7%
52.9%
P3
61.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.4%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2023 | 1 | 01:51 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 13:07 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |