Michael McCarron vs Wyatt Johnston
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.5% vs Johnston 48.5% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnston 69.2%
Defensive zone
McCarron 84.6%
Neutral zone
McCarron 60.1%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
McCarron
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
McCarron
Johnston
Last 10: McCarron 7-3 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
2
3
McCarron
Johnston
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
0
McCarron
Johnston
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
1
McCarron
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (672)
47.8% (623)
+5.3%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
50.8% (63)
-32.6%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (205)
51.4% (35)
+2.3%
On power play, Johnston has a +32.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. McCarron is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (265).
McCarron shoots right. Johnston is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
McCarron
Johnston
Home
52.8% (477)
47.6% (351)
Away
52.8% (411)
48.9% (370)
By Period
McCarron
Johnston
P1
56.5%
49.6%
P2
53.2%
47.3%
P3
49.0%
48.0%
OT
0.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
52.3%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 14:21 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 14:19 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:57 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:26 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:59 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |