Michael McCarron vs Wyatt Johnston
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. McCarron wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.8% vs Johnston 50.1% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 51.6%
Defensive zone
McCarron 54.4%
Neutral zone
Johnston 50.2%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
McCarron
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McCarron
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCarron
Johnston
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (618)
50.7% (552)
+3.8%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
61.5% (13)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (34)
43.5% (69)
-8.2%
On power play, Johnston has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. McCarron is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (208).
McCarron shoots right. Johnston is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
McCarron
Johnston
Home
52.2% (339)
50.3% (342)
Away
54.2% (332)
50.0% (292)
By Period
McCarron
Johnston
P1
53.5%
54.4%
P2
50.6%
47.2%
P3
55.9%
49.4%
Final 5 min
45.9%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |