Michael McCarron vs Wyatt Johnston
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McCarron wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 54.0% vs Johnston 51.0% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 79.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 61.0%
Neutral zone
Johnston 61.0%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
McCarron
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
McCarron
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
3
McCarron
Johnston
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
0
McCarron
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
2
McCarron
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (756)
52.6% (696)
+1.6%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
52.3% (88)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (158)
42.4% (125)
+12.7%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. McCarron is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (249).
McCarron shoots right. Johnston is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
McCarron
Johnston
Home
54.6% (445)
52.8% (458)
Away
54.2% (478)
49.4% (451)
By Period
McCarron
Johnston
P1
53.6%
48.9%
P2
55.6%
52.3%
P3
53.7%
51.4%
OT
100.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 04:37 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |