Michael McCarron vs Wyatt Johnston
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). McCarron wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.7% vs Johnston 49.1% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnston 68.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 67.1%
Neutral zone
Johnston 53.9%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
McCarron
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
McCarron
Johnston
Last 10: McCarron 7-3 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
3
7
McCarron
Johnston
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
4
0
McCarron
Johnston
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
McCarron
Johnston
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (2,901)
49.3% (2,189)
+4.1%
Power Play
45.3% (86)
52.6% (173)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (463)
44.7% (237)
+5.8%
On power play, Johnston has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. McCarron is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,047).
McCarron shoots right. Johnston is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
McCarron
Johnston
Home
52.3% (1,696)
49.2% (1,319)
Away
53.3% (1,754)
49.0% (1,280)
By Period
McCarron
Johnston
P1
53.9%
50.1%
P2
52.5%
48.3%
P3
52.0%
48.8%
OT
33.3%
51.6%
Final 5 min
50.7%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 14:21 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 14:19 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:57 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:26 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:59 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 04:37 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |