Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 49.0% vs McLeod 51.3% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 68.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 64.6%
Neutral zone
McLeod 50.1%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Carter
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Carter
McLeod
Last 10: Carter 5-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
2
Carter
McLeod
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Carter
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (242)
53.9% (534)
-4.3%
Power Play
59.1% (22)
59.1% (22)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (50)
32.5% (77)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Carter is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Carter shoots right. McLeod is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Carter
McLeod
Home
48.6% (173)
50.5% (275)
Away
48.9% (141)
52.2% (358)
By Period
Carter
McLeod
P1
52.1%
50.5%
P2
47.8%
56.1%
P3
46.6%
47.7%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
48.7%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 15:57 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 08:45 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 12:51 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 10:52 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 08:02 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |