Michael McLeod vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). McLeod wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 58.0% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 66.1%
Defensive zone
McLeod 97.2%
Neutral zone
McLeod 93.3%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 87.9%
87.9%
12.1%
McLeod
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
6
(20 meetings)
14
6
McLeod
MacKinnon
Last 10: McLeod 8-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
3
McLeod
MacKinnon
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
5
2
McLeod
MacKinnon
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
7
1
McLeod
MacKinnon
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (2,894)
46.1% (11,218)
+13.1%
Power Play
57.4% (101)
53.3% (1,412)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (525)
42.8% (502)
+10.7%
On even strength, McLeod has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. McLeod is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,063).
McLeod shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
Home / Away
McLeod
MacKinnon
Home
58.2% (1,647)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
58.4% (1,873)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
McLeod
MacKinnon
P1
58.7%
47.4%
P2
59.9%
46.6%
P3
56.3%
46.1%
OT
63.6%
48.4%
Final 5 min
58.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 11:09 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 02:25 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 12:48 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 05:53 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 19:06 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 02:59 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 14:31 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 04:32 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:22 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 14:02 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 13, 2019 | 1 | 16:41 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |