Michael McLeod vs Nathan MacKinnon
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall. McLeod wins 60.1% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 59.6% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+16.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 52.8%
Defensive zone
McLeod 82.6%
Neutral zone
McLeod 81.5%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
McLeod
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
McLeod
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
McLeod
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
0
McLeod
MacKinnon
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (792)
44.7% (1,053)
+16.8%
Power Play
65.2% (23)
36.8% (95)
+28.4%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (153)
65.0% (20)
-9.4%
On power play, McLeod has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. McLeod is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (248).
McLeod shoots right. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Home / Away
McLeod
MacKinnon
Home
62.0% (460)
49.4% (553)
Away
59.4% (508)
40.0% (615)
By Period
McLeod
MacKinnon
P1
61.5%
45.3%
P2
63.6%
42.7%
P3
56.2%
45.1%
OT
73.3%
46.2%
Final 5 min
60.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 05:53 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 1 | 19:06 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 02:59 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |