Who wins more faceoffs, Michael McLeod or Nathan MacKinnon?

Michael McLeod leads the head-to-head 7-1 across 8 faceoffs.

What is Michael McLeod's faceoff record against Nathan MacKinnon?

Michael McLeod is 7-1 against Nathan MacKinnon in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 2-0, Defensive 2-1, Neutral 3-0.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Michael McLeod or Nathan MacKinnon?

Michael McLeod is the predicted winner with a 91.0% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Michael McLeod vs Nathan MacKinnon

Michael McLeodR vs Nathan MacKinnonR

2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Michael McLeod holds a +18.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McLeod wins 59.6% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) McLeod 63.0% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+18.8%)

H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone McLeod 77.7%

Defensive zone McLeod 96.7%

Neutral zone McLeod 94.1%

Result Michael McLeod favored at 91.0%

91.0%

9.0%

McLeod MacKinnon

Head-to-Head Record

7 - 1 (8 meetings)

McLeod MacKinnon

Last 8: McLeod 7-1 MacKinnon

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: McLeod

McLeod MacKinnon

2 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: McLeod

McLeod MacKinnon

3 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: McLeod

McLeod MacKinnon

3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

McLeod

MacKinnon

Edge

Even Strength

64.8% (509)

45.5% (1,190)

+19.3%

Power Play

68.4% (19)

56.4% (94)

+12.0%

Penalty Kill

65.3% (124)

40.0% (30)

+25.3%

On penalty kill, McLeod has a +25.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

MacKinnon shoots right. McLeod is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (156).

McLeod shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).

Home / Away

McLeod

MacKinnon

Home

64.3% (308)

47.8% (670)

Away

65.7% (344)

44.6% (644)

By Period

McLeod

MacKinnon

62.9%

45.3%

64.8%

48.5%

67.9%

45.0%

37.5%

33.3%

Final 5 min

66.7%

47.4%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

McLeod

56.0%▼

63.5%

65.0%

MacKinnon

48.0%▼

54.0%

46.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Nov 7, 2023	3	17:44	Offensive	Michael McLeod
Nov 7, 2023	3	17:26	Defensive	Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 7, 2023	3	11:22	Defensive	Michael McLeod
Nov 7, 2023	3	11:09	Defensive	Michael McLeod
Nov 7, 2023	2	02:25	Neutral	Michael McLeod
Nov 7, 2023	2	00:00	Neutral	Michael McLeod
Nov 7, 2023	1	12:48	Offensive	Michael McLeod
Nov 7, 2023	1	00:00	Neutral	Michael McLeod

McLeod's Profile | MacKinnon's Profile