Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 56.6% vs Dowd 53.3% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 52.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 61.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 62.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
McLeod
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
McLeod
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
McLeod
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (859)
55.4% (771)
+2.9%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
57.1% (7)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (168)
45.5% (165)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. McLeod is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (277).
McLeod shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
McLeod
Dowd
Home
55.3% (526)
58.2% (462)
Away
59.2% (529)
49.3% (481)
By Period
McLeod
Dowd
P1
60.7%
55.6%
P2
55.9%
50.5%
P3
55.2%
53.9%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 09:16 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 08:39 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |