Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. McLeod wins 59.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 63.0% vs Dowd 48.3% (+16.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 91.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 62.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 67.8%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
McLeod
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McLeod
Dowd
Last 5: McLeod 3-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
0
McLeod
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
McLeod
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
64.8% (509)
49.2% (778)
+15.6%
Power Play
68.4% (19)
58.3% (12)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
65.3% (124)
44.0% (234)
+21.3%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. McLeod is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (156).
McLeod shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
McLeod
Dowd
Home
64.3% (308)
46.3% (492)
Away
65.7% (344)
49.8% (532)
By Period
McLeod
Dowd
P1
62.9%
49.1%
P2
64.8%
48.2%
P3
67.9%
46.9%
OT
37.5%
71.4%
Final 5 min
66.7%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 11:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 08:28 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 13:32 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 07:10 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |