Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McLeod wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 56.6% vs Paul 50.4% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 69.1%
Defensive zone
McLeod 91.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 79.6%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 86.9%
86.9%
13.1%
McLeod
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McLeod
Paul
Last 5: McLeod 4-1 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
McLeod
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
4
0
McLeod
Paul
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (859)
53.0% (644)
+5.3%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
37.5% (24)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (168)
42.9% (177)
+10.1%
On power play, McLeod has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. McLeod is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (778).
McLeod shoots right. Paul is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
McLeod
Paul
Home
55.3% (526)
52.5% (516)
Away
59.2% (529)
47.1% (329)
By Period
McLeod
Paul
P1
60.7%
47.6%
P2
55.9%
48.4%
P3
55.2%
54.5%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2022 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 7, 2022 | 2 | 11:32 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 3 | 05:54 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 6, 2021 | 1 | 08:25 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |