Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. McLeod wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 59.6% vs Paul 53.4% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 63.8%
Defensive zone
McLeod 89.2%
Neutral zone
McLeod 84.4%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
McLeod
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McLeod
Paul
Last 5: McLeod 4-1 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
0
McLeod
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (792)
53.8% (753)
+7.7%
Power Play
65.2% (23)
58.9% (90)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (153)
47.4% (78)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. McLeod is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (720).
McLeod shoots right. Paul is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
McLeod
Paul
Home
62.0% (460)
54.2% (450)
Away
59.4% (508)
53.3% (471)
By Period
McLeod
Paul
P1
61.5%
58.2%
P2
63.6%
50.6%
P3
56.2%
52.9%
OT
73.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2023 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 16, 2023 | OT | 00:27 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Nick Paul |