Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. McLeod wins 66.7% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 63.0% vs Paul 53.9% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 59.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 84.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 71.0%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
McLeod
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
McLeod
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
64.8% (509)
53.1% (710)
+11.7%
Power Play
68.4% (19)
57.3% (199)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
65.3% (124)
58.0% (69)
+7.3%
On even strength, McLeod has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. McLeod is 66.7% vs left-shot opponents (496).
McLeod shoots right. Paul is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
McLeod
Paul
Home
64.3% (308)
56.0% (466)
Away
65.7% (344)
52.7% (512)
By Period
McLeod
Paul
P1
62.9%
57.2%
P2
64.8%
54.9%
P3
67.9%
51.5%
OT
37.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
66.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 06:40 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:53 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |