Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). McLeod wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 59.6% vs Zacha 46.5% (+15.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 59.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 93.1%
Neutral zone
McLeod 90.3%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 88.3%
88.3%
11.7%
McLeod
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
McLeod
Zacha
Last 7: McLeod 5-2 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
McLeod
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
5
1
McLeod
Zacha
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
61.5% (792)
45.3% (247)
+16.2%
Power Play
65.2% (23)
58.1% (31)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (153)
22.2% (18)
+33.4%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. McLeod is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (720).
McLeod shoots right. Zacha is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
McLeod
Zacha
Home
62.0% (460)
39.7% (131)
Away
59.4% (508)
49.7% (165)
By Period
McLeod
Zacha
P1
61.5%
42.9%
P2
63.6%
46.4%
P3
56.2%
42.3%
OT
73.3%
87.5%
Final 5 min
60.8%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 08:51 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 04:40 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |