Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McLeod wins 66.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 63.0% vs Zacha 54.4% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 82.1%
Defensive zone
McLeod 75.9%
Neutral zone
Zacha 55.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
McLeod
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
McLeod
Zacha
Last 10: McLeod 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
4
1
McLeod
Zacha
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
3
McLeod
Zacha
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
McLeod
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
64.8% (509)
53.9% (787)
+10.9%
Power Play
68.4% (19)
63.2% (193)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
65.3% (124)
44.3% (88)
+21.0%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. McLeod is 66.7% vs left-shot opponents (496).
McLeod shoots right. Zacha is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
McLeod
Zacha
Home
64.3% (308)
56.7% (538)
Away
65.7% (344)
52.8% (530)
By Period
McLeod
Zacha
P1
62.9%
52.6%
P2
64.8%
54.8%
P3
67.9%
56.8%
OT
37.5%
59.1%
Final 5 min
66.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 18:30 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 11:20 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 11:02 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 03:22 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 19:43 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 08:42 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:30 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |